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Pig Journal Volume: 47
Publication date: April 2001

Proceedings Section

GLOBAL TRENDS IN PIG PRODUCTION; PRESENT AND FUTURE
P. Best

Abstract
The author, a leading analyst of the Pig Industry, looks at past, present and future aspects of world-wide pig production. Trends in production are overall linked to regional rather than national markets. Changes in world trade are examined, with special reference to those regional trading blocs that have grown up over the last few decades. In addition, the growth in exports to Japan, coinciding with a dramatic fall in domestic production, has provided major opportunities for Denmark and the U.S.A. Another feature of international trade was the cessation of funded food aid to Russia in the 1990s, with a knock-on effect to those erstwhile suppliers in the EU and N. America.

Future prospects are highlighted in this paper, with a figure of 121 million tonnes quoted for world-wide pigmeat production in 2030 - an increase of 42 million tonnes in a 35 year period. Factors affecting future capabilities are looked at in detail. These include availability of animal feed and skilled labour and the growth of slaughterhouse facilities to adequately process the pigs produced. Last, but not least, land and environmental factors will also strongly impinge on the overall prospects, together with the possible increased re-location of both units and specialist expertise on a multi-national basis.

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