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AHDB Pork Weekly Export Bulletin


14 July 2014

BPEX Export Bulletin - Week 28BPEX Export Bulletin - Week 28

EU pork production is forecast to increase marginally by 0.2% in 2014 and by 0.8% in 2015 according to the European Commission.
British Pig Executive Weekly Export Bulletin

Exports remain affected by the loss of the Russian market and are expected to decline by 7% this year. In contrast to earlier forecasts, we agree broadly with this assumption but are targeting a fall of 5-6% only, with the UK remaining unaffected due to the lack of exposure to the Russian market.

Netherlands

German worries for Dutch abattoirs

The dearth of slaughter pigs in Germany has led German pork abattoirs led by Tönnies to raise their price, quickly creating a large gap of €c16 to €c17 per kg between Dutch and German prices. Dutch processors fear a rapid rise in live exports to Germany as they struggle to match German prices.
(Source, Boerderij Vandaag)

Attack on Dutch banks

Animal welfare lobby Wakker Dier is calling for a boycott of Rabobank and ING as these two banks are the largest Dutch investors in animal production worldwide. A report commissioned by the said organisation says that Dutch banks have around £5b invested in the sector compared with £13b by US banks.
(Source, Boerderij Vandaag)

Great profitability for breeder producers

The average Dutch farm producing weaners with 600 sows is now making a net profit of €37,000 per month over the first five months of the year, according to research by agriculture economic body LEI. In the corresponding period of 2013, profits were €22,000 per month. The return of finishers is much lower and has not increased, with an average return of €4,800 per month (- €1,000) for a 1,700 place finishing farm.
(Source, Boerderij Vandaag)

France

GAD

Workers’ unions are worried about the future of GAD and have asked both local and regional authorities to organise emergency round table discussions. They would like discussions to focus on the future of GAD and also look at pig meat production in Brittany and France. The challenge has been confirmed by recent Agreste figures that are showing an 8% year-on-year decline in pig production in May, year to date slaughterings in the January to May period decreased by 1.2%. Pig meat consumption increased by 3% during the first 4 months of the year and household purchases increased by 2.6% over the first five months of the year. This is the result of increased pig meat availability and the decline of exports to Russia which has not been completely compensated for by higher exports to Northern Asia.

FICT

Difficulties experienced on export markets by the French pig meat sector have also been felt by charcuterie processors. Over the last 10 years, charcuterie export sales have decreased by 13.4% in value terms to represent 8% of total sales. On the contrary, in 2013 imports increased significantly: up 13.8% from Spain, 4.7% more from Belgium and Luxemburg, up 3.1% from Italy and 2.4% more from Germany. Imports of dry ham from Italy and Spain are well established. However, imports of cheap fresh dry sausages from Germany and even Poland are a new phenomenon in France.

Markets

Pigs: The base price of 56TMP increased only €c0.2 last Monday in Plérin. This stability confirms the current balance in the market, in a context of current stable demand from abattoirs.

Piglets: Offers range from stable to slightly higher depending on the region, demand remains stable. Prices are stable or slightly decreasing depending on the category. FNP-FNCBV prices echo the increase of prices for pork butchers. Last week, they gained €4 for 25kg weaners and €71 for 8kg piglets.

Cuts: The weather forecast is not good for meat consumption. Nevertheless, the beginning of the month and the next long bank holiday weekend on 14 July (Bastille Day) could activate orders from retailers, in particular in holiday resort areas. In contrast, “calm” should be the word in large cities.

Pork prices RUNGIS week commencing 7 July 2014

Cut namePrice range (Euro/Kg)
Back fat, rind-on 0.50
Trimmings 1.37
Leg 2.77
Loin including chump 3.16
Loin excluding chump 2.92
Belly extra without trimmings 2.76

Ireland

Shortage of pigs drives prices up

Reported pig shortages have driven prices to €1.88 per kg. The number of slaughter pigs exported to the North to 21 June has fallen from 275,365 in 2013 to 253,179 in 2014. Domestic slaughter is stable at 1.34m to the end of June.
(Source, Irish Farmers’ Journal)

Denmark

Danish Slaughterhouses - payments week commencing 7 July 2014
SlaughterhouseDanish CrownTican
Slaughter pigs (70.0 – 86.9 kg)
Difference to last week
€1.457
-0.027
€1.457
-0.027
Sows (Above 129.9 kg)
Difference to last week
€0.979
unchanged
€0.979
unchanged
Boars (Above 109.9 kg)
Difference to last week
n/a n/a

Markets

On European markets, demand is stable with fresh hams being traded at unchanged prices. The summer market in Germany results in a fall in demand. The UK bacon market is reported as stable at unchanged prices. Other EU markets remain unchanged compared with the previous week. Sales on the Asian markets of China and Japan and also to the United States are reported as good.

Germany

Pork Prices Hamburg Market Week commencing 7 July 2014
Cut namePrice range (€ / kg)
Round cut leg 2.50/2.60
Leg (boneless, rindless max fat level 3mm) 3.35/3.50
Boneless Shoulder 2.55/2.70
Picnic Shoulder 2.10/2.35
Collar 2.85/3.15
Belly (bone in, ex-breast) 2.20/2.50
Sheet Boned Belly (rindless) 2.15/2.35
Jowl 1.35/1.45
Half Pig Carcasses U class 2.12/2.22

Spain

Call for Government to support the pig sector

The Spanish Conservative Party (PP) has asked the Government to enhance the image of the pig sector, Spanish pork and processed products to Spanish society. They have also asked to stimulate scientific research, technological development and innovation and provide the sector with sufficient techno-economic information.
(Source: Eurocarne)

Pork prices Barcelona Market Week commencing 7 July 2014
Cut namePrice range (€ / kg)
Gerona Loin Chops 2.90/2.93
Loin Eye Muscle 3.83/3.86
Spare Ribs 3.38/3.41
Fillets 5.48/5.51
Round Cut Legs 3.40/3.43
Cooked Ham 2.77/2.80
Rindless Picnic Shoulder 1.84/1.87
Belly 2.63/2.67
Smoked Belly with Spare Rib Section Cut off 3.06/3.09
Shoulder chap or Head Jowls 1.26/1.29
Back Fat, Rindless 0.73/0.76

Portugal

Japanese exports

The Portuguese Minister of Agriculture has announced the opening of the Japanese market for pork producers from Portugal. She also announced that the formalities for exporting to South Korea “are on track”
(Source: Eurocarne)

USA

PEDv news

Still, 100,000 piglets per week are dying from the disease. The virus appears to be less virulent with warmer weather. Environment concerns are now voiced concerning the disposal of dead pigs.
(Source, own)

Record pork prices

According to USDA data, pork prices broke a new record at around US$134.20 per lb on Monday. With Sterling now at 1.50 against the US$, this is a hefty £1.97 per kg carcase weight.
(Source, USDA)

Canada

PEDv situation is improving

Ontario was the epicentre of the Canadian outbreak from the imported US blood plasma. The authority and the local pig producers have managed to regain control with no outbreaks in May and only 4 farms in June.
(Source, own)

Mexico

Granjas Carroll invests

The large Mexican producer is investing £30m in a new pig abattoir in the province of Puebla with a capacity of 15,000 pigs per week.
(Source, Eurocarne on line)

Brazil

Pif-Paf is looking for partners

Turnover at the pork and poultry processor from Minas Gerais with a throughput of half a million pigs per year grew by 23% last year. However, it is strategically badly placed between the major Brazilian pork and poultry groups Brazil Foods and JBS and a deal to sell the company to JBS fell through last year. This said, President Luiz Carlos Costa is looking for investors to expand the business.
(Source, Eurocarne on line)

Russia

Meat imports down

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, during the first six months of 2014 meat imports to Russia fell to 560,000 tonnes. Pork imports fell by 36.4% on the year, beef imports fell by 21% and poultry imports decreased by 10.6%. As for meat prices, during January to June 2014, the average retail pork price increased 17%, beef was up 2.6% and poultry prices increased by 10%.
(Source, Foodmarkets.ru)

Ukraine

Lower pork imports

According to customs statistics, during the January to June 2014 period, the Ukraine imported only 19,000 tonnes of pork, almost four times less than in the same period of 2013. Brazil was the biggest exporter of pork to Ukraine (43% of the total volume) followed by Germany (15%) and the USA (12%). Ukrainian pork exports remained very low, during the 6-month period exports totalled 1,800 tonnes, mainly exported to Moldova.
(Source, latifundist.com)

Belarus

Enter conteAnimal feed bans lifted

According to the official website of the State Department of Veterinary and Food Surveillance of Belarus, bans on the import of animal feed from the territories of Lithuania, Latvia and Poland that are free from the ASF have been cancelled. For reference, the import of the feed from Lithuania was banned in January 2014, from Poland in February and from Latvia in June.
(Source, Pigua.info)

China

FMD outbreak

An outbreak of Foot & Mouth Disease has been detected in a small pig farm in the Eastern Province of Jiangsu with 9 pigs affected.
(Source, OIE)

Mongolia

CSF

An outbreak of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) has destroyed a large pig farm with the cull of 993 pigs.
(Source, OIE)

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