Lean hog futures weaken, USDA lowers 2022 price outlook - CME

October live cattle futures rise
calendar icon 13 September 2022
clock icon 2 minute read

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) lean hog futures eased on Monday as the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) lifted its forecast for domestic pork production and lowered its price outlook for pigs for this year, reported Reuters.

The department, in a monthly report, raised its estimate for pork production in the third quarter by 0.9% from August because the pace of slaughtering has exceeded expectations. The agency lowered its 2022 hog price forecast 3.4% from last month to $71.30 per hundredweight based on observed prices.

"We're seeing lighter weights but higher quantity," the department said in a webcast after issuing the report.

CME October lean hogs closed 1.300 cents lower at 91.875 cents per lb, while December hogs slid 0.350 cent to end at 82.775 cents per lb.

Meat processors slaughtered about 483,000 hogs on Monday, up from 470,000 hogs a year earlier, according to daily US government data.

Beef production is also projected to exceed previous expectations in 2022 and 2023 due to higher slaughtering, the agriculture department said in its monthly report. Cattle ranchers are sending more animals to feedlots to be fattened for slaughter as a US drought has scorched pastures used for grazing.

The department, in its monthly report, slightly raised its price outlook for steers in 2022 to $142.80 per hundredweight from $142.10 last month.

At the CME, October live cattle rose 0.075 cent to 145.750 cents per lb, and December gained 0.375 cent to close at 151.350 cents per lb.

Feeder cattle futures, meanwhile, came under pressure from rising prices for corn used for livestock feed, traders said. October feeders sank 2.450 cents to close at 183.125 cents per lb and touched their lowest price in more than two weeks.

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