Brazilian pork prices set to rise as supply tightens and Lent ends
Record 2025 output masks weakness, but April outlook improves
8 April 2026
1 minute read
By: Brazilian pork production hit a record 5.65 million tonnes in 2025, up 5.5% year-over-year, according to Cepea, citing data from IBGE. The result marked the strongest annual growth since 2022.
Output in the fourth quarter of 2025 exceeded 1.4 million tonnes — down 5.3% from the previous quarter but up 6.4% compared with the same period in 2024.
Despite the production milestone, prices have remained under pressure in early 2026. Cepea attributes the weakness to rising domestic supply since January and soft consumer demand, compounding the impact of firm international demand drawing product away from the home market.
The outlook for April is more positive, however. Cepea projects slaughter volumes may ease, and if export demand holds at its March pace, domestic availability is expected to tighten.
The end of Lent — which traditionally dampens meat consumption — could also provide a further boost to demand, pointing to a likely price recovery.
